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Taleb, Nassim Nichol: Black Swan

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A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of "The Black Swan", Nassim Nicholas Taleb's "The Bed of Procrustes" is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern world. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas ...a dál?

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Specifikace Taleb, Nassim Nichol: Black Swan

Kategorie Cizojazyčné knihy
Nejnižší cena 276 Kč

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a » ... a dál?

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Název produktu: Taleb, Nassim Nichol: Black Swan
Výrobce: NEUVEDEN
Minimální cena: 276 Kč
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A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of "The Black Swan", Nassim Nicholas Taleb's "The Bed of Procrustes" is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern world. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is. "Happily provocative ...blistering ...his observations concern superiority, wealth, suckerdom, academia, modernity, technology and the all-purpose, ignorant "they" ...very quotable". ("The New York Times"). "A master philosopher". ("The Times"). "Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems". ("Financial Times"). "Opinionated and witty...It showcases his wit and learning, and provides ways to fillet his enemies". ("Independent on Sunday"). Nassim Nicholas Taleb spends most of his time as a flaneur, meditating in cafes across the planet.

A former trader, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University. He is the author of "Fooled by Randomness" and "The Black Swan", an international bestseller which has become an intellectual, social, and cultural touchstone. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we alwaysignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we arehard-wired notto truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible". In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncer


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